Strathalbyn Tips: Mitch Lewis’ best bets & full Wednesday preview

Summary of Best Bets

Best Bet: Race 7 (2) Joviale
Next Best: Race 4 (5) Crespiano
Best Value: Race 1 (1) Power Of Time

Turf Talk

• Clear weather is forecast and the track should present as a Good 4
• Rail moves back to the True position for this meeting
• Slight advantage expected for on-speed runners in dry conditions

Stats that matter

• Stuart Gower: 14 winners from last 100 runners, +36.8% POT, +23.2% POT at this track
• Jacob Opperman: 22 winners from last 100 rides, +14.2% POT

Race by race overview

Race 1

(1) Power Of Time was a good winner two starts back before tackling stronger company last start and finds a much more suitable race here where he maps to get a positive run on speed and looks the one to catch.

(4) Sassy Sophie resumes after contesting Listed grade last prep and should find this easier but may want further.

(5) Elegant Lilly maps for a favourable on-speed run and could be suited back at her home track.

(2) Ruled By Thieves can mix his form but has a strong finish if things go right.

Selections:
(1) Power Of Time
(4) Sassy Sophie
(5) Elegant Lilly
(2) Ruled By Thieves

Suggested Bet: (1) Power Of Time - Win

Race 2

(14) Zou Doll drops back from metro Maidens and should find this easier, gets a soft run from barrier 2 and can improve.

(5) Silent Legacy should strip fitter second-up and maps well.

(3) Hakeba looks suited rising to 1200m third-up.

(4) Lunar Vista improved last start and can run well again at odds.

Selections:
(14) Zou Doll
(5) Silent Legacy
(3) Hakeba
(4) Lunar Vista

Suggested Bet: No bet

Race 3

(3) Kikkuli has had no luck with barriers recently and draws wide again but looks the class runner who can finish over the top with the right run.

(4) Rhinestone Rory has been knocking on the door with three straight seconds and maps ideally.

(13) Innominate improved sharply last start in stronger company and may appreciate the extra trip.

(5) The Punk Rocker improves at this track but needs luck from a wide draw.

Selections:
(3) Kikkuli
(4) Rhinestone Rory
(13) Innominate
(5) The Punk Rocker

Suggested Bet: No bet

Race 4

(5) Crespiano drops sharply in grade and rises in distance which looks ideal and is likely to control the race on speed making him hard to run down.

(8) Captain Love improved last start over further and is peaking third-up.

(9) Kohala is racing consistently and should appreciate the rise in trip.

(2) Hotch Potch maps for a soft run from the inside in what looks a moderate tempo.

Selections:
(5) Crespiano
(8) Captain Love
(9) Kohala
(2) Hotch Potch

Suggested Bet: (5) Crespiano - Win

Race 5

(5) Aitch D’amico drops in grade and has a strong record at this track and while he will get back he should be hitting the line hard.

(3) Zain Prince maps to race prominently and has been consistent.

(2) Savsonic gets a soft run from barrier 3 and has a perfect record at the track and trip.

Selections:
(5) Aitch D’amico
(3) Zain Prince
(2) Savsonic

Suggested Bet: No bet

Race 6

(4) Tupoleu is fitter second-up and maps to lead in a race lacking speed giving him his chance to control things.

(3) High Society Girl resumes and is well down in grade and may have the class edge despite likely improving over further.

(2) Ironbar drops in grade and is suited but needs luck from a wide draw.

(7) Cool The Jets improves second-up and is better placed here.

Selections:
(4) Tupoleu
(3) High Society Girl
(2) Ironbar
(7) Cool The Jets

Suggested Bet: No bet

Race 7

(2) Joviale has a strong record at this track and distance and drops back in grade, maps ideally and should get every chance.

(8) Morlaix has been close in recent runs and will be strong late again.

(7) Tofino should improve stepping up to 1600m where he has won twice.

(4) Ekanite hasn't been in the best of form of late but finds himself in a slightly easier race than recently so expecting he can bounce back to a better level.

Selections:

(2) Joviale
(8) Morlaix
(7) Tofino
(4) Ekanite

Suggested Bet: (2) Joviale - Win