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SA Carnival kicks off with key lead ups to Group 1 targets

Three key races this weekend will shape the South Australian carnival, with clear pathways emerging toward The Goodwood, The Sangster and the SA Oaks.

Mitch Lewis profile image
by Mitch Lewis
SA Carnival kicks off with key lead ups to Group 1 targets
Aviatress

South Australia’s feature racing program ramps up this weekend, with three key Listed races acting as early guideposts heading towards big Group 1 features in coming weeks.

While none of Saturday’s races carry top level status themselves, they have proven time and again to be strong launching pads into Adelaide’s biggest features, particularly in the sprint and staying ranks.

Here is how each race fits into the bigger picture.

Get Mitch Lewis;' full set of tips for the meeting here

Dequetteville Stakes 1050m 2YO Fillies

The Dequetteville Stakes is often the first look at the state’s emerging juvenile fillies, although historically it has not been a major pipeline into Group 1 success.

Recent winners such as Lincolnshire, Stretan Angel and See You In Heaven have used this race as a stepping stone through the local ranks rather than progressing to the very top level.

That trend is likely to continue this year, with most runners expected to stay within South Australia and target races like the Group 3 Breeders Stakes.

It is a race that identifies talent, but more often at a local level rather than producing headline acts later in the carnival.

No Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier bet365 Odds
1 Never Ordinary Byron Cozamanis Ms Rochelle Milnes 3 $1.60
2 Almost An Angel Robbie Griffiths Luke Currie 6 $5.50
4 Image Artist Patrick Caboche Andrew Stead 4 $41
5 Verzain Phillip Stokes Jacob Opperman 8 $8.50
6 Churchill Rose Andrew Gluyas Ms Taylor Johnstone 7 $26
7 Better Rein It In Karen Byrnes Ms Stacey Metcalfe 9 $34
8 Celestaria Henry Dwyer Will Price 10 $17
9 Nolabell Aaron Bain & Ned Taylor Jason Holder 11 $15
10 Pure Pelt Travis Doudle Todd Pannell 1 $26
12 Signed By A Kiss Patrick & Michelle Payne Jake Noonan 12 $26

Matrice Stakes 1200m 3YO+

The Matrice Stakes is where things begin to get serious from a Group 1 perspective.

Mares have dominated this race in recent seasons, winning six of the past ten editions, including the last three runnings. That pattern is worth noting given how often this race feeds directly into the major sprint features.

Recent winners Climbing Star and Another Award both used this race as a springboard into The Sangster and The Goodwood, performing strongly at the elite level.

While it is an open sex race, the strength of the mares profile suggests they are once again likely to hold a significant edge.

For those looking at carnival pathways, the traditional progression is through races like the Manihi Classic and the Irwin Stakes before stepping into Group 1 company.

This is the race on the program most likely to produce a genuine contender for the sprint features later in the carnival.

No Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier bet365 Odds
1 Arkansaw Kid Ben, Will & JD Hayes Luke Currie 1 $3.20
2 Chicago Storm David Aldridge Ms Rochelle Milnes 6 $13
3 Power Beau Wayne Brown Ben Kennedy 8 $23
4 Dirty Grin (NZ) Nick Ryan Todd Pannell 3 $10
5 Great Maximus Richard & Chantelle Jolly Jake Toeroek 4 $15
6 Rue De Royale (NZ) Tony & Calvin McEvoy Jett Stanley 9 $10
7 Mt Niseko Chris Bieg Jason Holder 2 $34
8 Shadhavar Tom Dabernig Jacob Opperman 5 $2.60
9 Thunder Shoc Will Clarken Ms Kayla Crowther 7 $10

Clare Lindop Stakes 1600m 3YO Fillies

The Clare Lindop Stakes shapes as the key early indicator for fillies targeting the staying features, particularly the Group 1 SA Oaks.

Recent winners such as Comanche Miss and As Time Goes By have followed the well worn path from this race into the Oaks, building through the distances as the preparation unfolds.

From here, the natural progression is into the Group 3 Auraria Stakes over 1800m, which provides a crucial test before stepping up to the 2000m of the Oaks.

This 1600m assignment should be viewed as the foundation run, giving a strong indication of which fillies are capable of stretching out to a staying trip later in the carnival.

No Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier bet365 Odds
1 Freedom Flame Andrew Gluyas Ms Taylor Johnstone 2 $17
2 Mating Call Dan Clarken & Oopy MacGillivray Ms Emily Finnegan 14 $5.50
3 Dirty Old Town Andrew Gluyas Jason Holder 11 $6.50
4 Oak Park Maddison Travis Doudle Ms Caitlin Tootell 15 $41
5 Stung Ben, Will & JD Hayes Luke Currie 4 $4.40
6 Silvasista Tony & Calvin McEvoy Ms Rochelle Milnes 6 $4.00
7 Kakadu Sunset Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Jett Stanley 1 $11
8 Star Of Omaha Andrew Angelone Will Price 13 $31
9 Sicilian Princess Richard & Chantelle Jolly Jake Toeroek 10 $21
10 Oui Oui Ma Cherie Stuart Gower Ms Teagan Voorham 12 $41
11 Synthesise Matthew Seyers Ms Kayla Crowther 5 $17
12 She’s Stargazing Patrick Kearney Jake Noonan 8 $101
13 Big Rita June Lewis & Eliza Grantham Andrew Stead 9 $201
14 Fringes (NZ) Michael Hickmott Jackson Murphy 3 $126
15 Silent Answer Phillip Stokes Jacob Opperman 7 $26

All three races on Saturday may sit below Group 1 level, but they are far from throwaway events.

For punters and form analysts, they provide an early map of how the South Australian carnival is likely to unfold, with key clues around which runners are ready to take the next step when the stakes rise in the weeks ahead.

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by Mitch Lewis

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