Sale Tips Sunday: Mitch Lewis’ Best Bets on a testing track
Summary of Best Bets:
Best Bet: Race 5 (5) Gaeilge
Next Best: Race 8 (5) Sugar Schnapps
Turf Talk:
- The track was rated a Heavy 10 at time of writing and with further showers forecast, conditions are expected to remain firmly in the heavy range.
- The rail moves out +7m the entire circuit.
- In similar wet-track setups, runners settling forward of midfield have traditionally held an advantage.
Key Stats:
- Danny O’Brien brings a strong team to the meeting and his stable is flying with 19 winners from the last 100 starters at a POT of +22.9%.
- Ben Allen is riding in excellent form with 21 winners from his past 100 rides at a POT of +17.1%.
Race by race overview
Race 5:
(5) Gaeilge was a winner as a short-priced favourite when resuming before producing a below-expected performance second up. This race looks to map ideally, with the gelding expected to secure a soft run on speed which should help him run out a strong 1200m third up. He has previously handled rain-affected ground and profiles as suited back onto a heavy surface.
Selections:
(5) Gaeilge
(6) Small Town Hero
(2) Jett Smash
(3) Duel Venture
Suggested Bet: (5) Gaeilge (Win)
Race 8:
(5) Sugar Schnapps brings strong wet-track credentials from her New Zealand form and should relish conditions again here. She showed tactical speed at her Australian debut when leading and if able to find a similar position, she looks well placed fitter second up. In suitable conditions and likely prominent throughout, she shapes as hard to run down.
Selections:
(5) Sugar Schnapps
(6) Azzacool
(9) Unobscured
(2) Juice Box
Suggested Bet: (5) Sugar Schnapps (Win)
