Yarra Valley Cup Day Tips: Mitch Lewis’ best bets and race preview
Mitch Lewis previews Yarra Valley Cup Day with his best bets and key selections, highlighting Cripps and Not Surprised as the horses to follow on a competitive Sunday program.
Best Bets
R4 (1) Cripps
R5 (7) Not Surprised (Best)
Track
- The rail returns to the True position today having been out slightly at the previous meeting here.
- Clear weather is forecast for race day and the track is expected to present as a Good 4.
- The track has played evenly in similar conditions at recent meetings so expect a fair surface again today.
Key stats:
- The Pat Carey & Harris Walker stable is flying currently producing 18 winners from their past 100 runners at a huge POT of +60%.
- Theo Nugent is one of the more experienced jockeys here today and has a good record at this track with a winning strike rate of 18.5% and POT of +23.2%.
FULL PREVIEW OF THE YARRA VALLEY MEETING IS AVAILABLE IN THE TIPPING HUB - CLICK HERE
Race 4
(1) Cripps has found flying form over in Tasmania producing two high rated wins while over there. He brings plenty of confidence back to Victoria and maps to get a soft run which should help offset the heavy weight. Despite the gap between runs he profiles well fresh and looks the one to beat.
Selections:
(1) Cripps
(7) Silver Top Ridge
(4) Quebeck
(2) Superset
Suggested Bet: (1) Cripps WIN
Race 5
(7) Not Surprised was scratched from a winnable metro race at Morphettville on Saturday and drops in level from the race she resumed in at Ballarat. She maps well from the low barrier and should settle in a prominent position on speed. Fitter second up and down in grade, she looks well placed to win.
Selections:
(7) Not Surprised
(11) Marilyn’s Edge
(12) Lujaego
(3) Lim’s Teide
Suggested Bet: (7) Not Surprised WIN
Get full selections for today's Yarra Valley meeting in the Betsy Tipping Hub
