Cranbourne Tips Tonight: Mitch Lewis' Best Bets & Preview
Cranbourne hosts Friday night racing and Mitch Lewis has you covered with his full preview. From track conditions and key stats to his best bets, here’s everything you need to know before the first jumps.
Summary of Best Bets
Best Bet: Race 7 - (5) Hotspur Reale
Next Best: Race 6 - (5) Maldini
Turf Talk
- Clear conditions are forecast for the meeting, expect the track to be rated a Good 4.
- The rail moves out slightly from last week’s position and will be +7m the entire.
- The track played fairer last week than it had previously, but still give an advantage to on-speed types given how this track has played this season.
Stats that matter
- John McArdle’s stable continues to race in strong form with 21 winners from its last 100 starters at a POT of +27.2%.
- Ryan Houston has an excellent record riding at this track, with 9 winners from 47 rides and a POT return of +67.4%.
Race by race overview
Race 6
(5) Maldini resumes here and has previously performed well first-up and fresh. He is also consistent at this distance and looks likely to get a soft run from barrier 2, so in a favourable set-up he looks well suited. (8) Yamashita’s Gold is a last-start winner who has been hitting the line strongly and will be suited if the track is even. (2) Charmed Run has a good record at this track and is better suited dropping in grade today. (1) Capper Thirtynine is another runner who can improve with the class drop.
Selections: (5) Maldini, (8) Yamashita’s Gold, (2) Charmed Run, (1) Capper Thirtynine
Suggested Bet: (5) Maldini win
Race 7
(5) Hotspur Reale has been consistent recently with four placings in a row and should find this slightly easier than last start. The race looks set to have plenty of speed, which he should be able to sit just off, and he looks likely to be strong late through the line. (6) Billund can settle close to the speed and be in a prominent position in the run. (7) Electric Star has good speed and looks likely to land in a strong position, and he is fitter second-up today rising in distance. (1) Lil Orlov is another on-speed runner who has the set-up for the right run if the track is favouring those closer to the speed.
Selections: (5) Hotspur Reale, (6) Billund, (7) Electric Star, (1) Lil Orlov
Suggested Bet: (5) Hotspur Reale win
