Betsy's Best: Pakenham

Best Bets

Race 3 No.2 Charmed Run (Best)
Race 8 No.1 Paradise City

Turf talk:

• Clear weather forecast for race day, suggesting the meeting will be run on a Good 4 and remain at that rating
• The rail moves back in from its previous position and will be +2m the entire circuit
• The track has been playing fairly with no leader’s bias, but prefer to back runners that won’t settle back further than midfield

Key Stats:

• Luke Oliver brings three runners to this meeting and his stable has been in good form recently, with 15 winners from his last 100 runners at a POT of +22%

Race 3

CHARMED RUN hit the line impressively in her first-up run at Warrnambool and remains in a similar level here second-up. She has run into the placings in all of her previous second-up runs, so can be an improver here. She looks likely to settle back in the run but with an expected hot tempo up front, she should be swooping late.

Selections:
(2) Charmed Run
(4) Pick ‘N’ Mix
(9) Foxenberg
(10) Semelle Rouge

Suggested Bet: (2) Charmed Run (Win)

Race 8

PARADISE CITY drops in grade here third-up today. She showed good improvement last time at Flemington and remains at the 1400m trip where she has previously had a strong record (6:2-2-0). She rates highly in this grade and maps well jumping from barrier 2, so this race sets up well for her to get back to winning form.

Selections:
(1) Paradise City
(2) Stage ‘N’ Screen
(7) Terilee

Suggested Bet: (1) Paradise City (Win)