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Betsy's Best: Mount Gambier

Mitch Lewis is playing at home, don't miss his best bets at the Mount.

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by Mitch Lewis
Betsy's Best: Mount Gambier
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Summary of best bets:

Best bet: Race 1 No.8 Gazelle

Next best: Race 5 No.2 Emerald Reward

Turf Talk:

  • The track was rated as a good 4 Saturday night but with rain forecast overnight and during Sunday morning, it is expected this track will be in the soft range come race 1
  • The rail to be placed in the true, if the track is wet runners will likely come away from the inside lanes in the straight
  • Give a small advantage to on speed types based off recent results with similar condition set ups

Stats:

  • Teagan Voorham has found strong recent form with a winning strike rate of 17% in her last 100 rides with a POT return of +36.4%, she has been profitable to follow at this track in the past with a POT return of +22% from 151 rides
  • Local trainer Belinda O’Loughlin is profitable here on her home track with a winning strike rate of 14% with a POT of +16.3%, she brings the one runner here today for this meeting

Race 6

(8) Gazelle
(2) Rhinestone Rory
(4) Mr Fisher
(7) Cynane

GAZELLE was a fast finisher in a similar race to this here in her last start. She didn’t get the best of runs finding trouble at the top of the straight but with a clear run late, she was the fastest finisher of the race so rising up in trip again for this looks ideal and she gets a light weight with a handy 2kg apprentice claim

Suggested bet: (8) Gazelle (Win)

Race 8

(2) Emerald Reward
(6) She’s Impeccable
(3) Atomic Gold
(7) Scenic Host

EMERALD REWARD drops in grade for this return to his home track after tackling a stronger race at Morphettville last time out. The form out of that race looks strong now with winner Teardrop Rotation winning again at Murray Bridge Saturday. Down in grade and in suitable conditions set him up well for this run 3rd up into the prep.

Suggested bet: (2) Emerald Reward (Win)

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by Mitch Lewis

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