Betsy's Best: Moe
Summary of best bets:
Next best: Race 5 No.1 Tishman
Best bet: Race 7 No.8 Idleonby
Turf Talk:
- The track is currently rated at a Good 4, there are some small showers forecast earlier in the day, but expect not enough rain to cause a downgrade to the track
- The rail will be in the True position as it was the previous two meetings here
- The track can favour those on speed with the short straight so giving a small advantage to those who settle forwards of midfield
Key Stats:
- Always respect the local Gelagotis stable, they have a winning strike rate of 20.8% here at a positive POT of +7.2%
- Carleen Hefel has been in strong recent form riding 15 winners in her last 100 starts at a POT of +49.7%, she also rides Moe well and has a POT return of +17.65 here, she goes around here today with a full book of rides
Race 5
This looks a competitive race, but it's giving us decent value on the resuming TISHMAN who is down in grade here today from where she finished last prep. She may be better suited going out over more ground but does have a good 1st up record and maps well in perspective to key rival MISS CASTELVECCHIO who has work to do from a wide barrier.
(1) Tishman
(14) Miss Castelvecchio
(4) Triple Time
(2) Jumpinmycar
Suggested Bet – (1) Tishman (Each-way)
Race 7
IDLEONBY resumes here off the back of two nice, winning jump-outs at Flemington. She found a good level in her debut campaign when winning a Maiden and then running well in a stronger race next. If she can resume with a level of improvement she looks capable of rising through the grades and kicking off with a win here.
(8) Idleonby
(2) Bleak Mid Winter
(5) Scream
(1) Mr Tickles
Suggested Bet – (8) Idleonby (Win)
