Betsy's Best: Cranbourne

Best Bets

Race 4 No.7 Caleana
Race 7 No.4 Night Flash

Turf talk:

• The track looks likely to be a Good 4 rating for the entirety of the meeting due to clear weather forecast through the day
• The rail will be +6m the entire circuit
• Advantage usually sits with runners who settle in the front half of the field in running here and expect that to be the case today with this rail setup

Key stats:

• Craig Newitt has 4 rides at this meeting and has found good recent form, riding 17 winners in his last 100 rides at a POT of +16.1%

Race 4

Lightly raced (7) Caleana looks well suited here second up off the back of a solid resuming performance at Geelong where he finished second behind Botanical Boy, which has since proven to be a strong form reference. He maps well to get the right run on speed and if he can find a level of improvement from his first-up run he should take catching fitter now.

(7) Caleana
(3) In Her Stride
(6) Attain
(2) Masterful

Suggested Bet: (7) Caleana (Win)

Race 7

This race maps to have a hot tempo and potentially runners out wide may be made to work to find position. That appears to set up (4) Night Flash well to get run of the race just off that speed, as from barrier 4 he looks likely to settle in a soft spot quickly. His recent form is solid without being outstanding but I like the setup he gets back to the 1000m trip here on a track where he should be advantaged.

(4) Night Flash
(6) Hotspur Reale
(7) Montjuic Magic
(1) Lim’s Teide

Suggested Bet: (4) Night Flash (Win)