Betsy's Best: Ballarat

Summary of Best Bets:

Race 6 No.10 Oliveanotherday (Best)
Race 7 No.3 Nimbustwothousand

Turf Talk:

• The track is rated a Good 4 but showers are forecast which could lead to a downgrade depending on rainfall.
• The rail is out +9m the entire.
• Slight advantage expected to runners settling forward of midfield in the run.

Key Stats:

• Archie Alexander has a super record at his home track, striking at 18.1% with a POT of +25.2% at Ballarat.
• Dan Stackhouse is in strong form, riding 18 winners from his past 100 rides with a POT of +20.1%.

Race by race overview

Race 6:

(10) Oliveanotherday resumes for his second campaign. He found a good level in his debut prep with a win before tackling a stronger race at Moonee Valley and running well. He drops back in grade here which should suit and looks ready to go off the back of some strong recent trials. Sets up well fresh at this level. (3) Foxenberg is next best. (9) Godtfred Kirk has claims. (2) One Long Day rounds out the main chances.

Selections:

(10) Oliveanotherday
(3) Foxenberg
(9) Godtfred Kirk
(2) One Long Day

Suggested Bet: Win (10) Oliveanotherday

Race 7:

(3) Nimbustwothousand is second up after a big run when resuming at Cranbourne. He produced the fastest L600m and L400m of the meeting in a race that may not have suited him on a leader-favouring track. He rises slightly in distance which looks ideal off that effort and he has a strong second-up record. (8) Not Surprised is next best. (5) Eternal Darkness has claims. (4) Just Bolts rounds out the numbers.

Selections:

(3) Nimbustwothousand
(8) Not Surprised
(5) Eternal Darkness
(4) Just Bolts

Suggested Bet: Win (3) Nimbustwothousand